Korištenje električnih romobila ističe Međunarodna udruga zračnog prometa (IATA) najavio je zdravu globalnu potražnju putnika za srpanj, a sve regije bilježe rast. Ukupni prihod putničkih kilometara (RPK) porastao je za 6.2% u odnosu na isti mjesec prošle godine.
Iako je to bilo zabilježeno pad od 8.1% u odnosu na prošlu godinu u lipnju, ipak je označio solidan početak vrhunske sezone potražnje putnika. Prema IATA-i, mjesečni kapacitet (raspoloživi kilometri sjedala ili ASK) povećao se za 5.5%, a faktor opterećenja porastao je za 0.6 postotnih bodova na rekordno visoku razinu od 85.2% u srpnju.
“Industrija je zabilježila još jedan mjesec solidnog rasta prometa. A rekordni faktor opterećenja pokazuje da zrakoplovne tvrtke postaju još učinkovitije u smislu raspolaganja kapacitetom kako bi se udovoljilo potražnji. Međutim, porast troškova - posebno goriva - vjerojatno će ograničiti poticaj koji bismo očekivali od nižih cijena zrakoplovnih karata. Stoga očekujemo kontinuirano usporavanje rasta u odnosu na 2017. godinu “, rekao je Alexandre de Juniac, glavni direktor i izvršni direktor IATA-e.
srpanj 2018
(% year-on-year) World share RPK ASK PLF
(%-pt) PLF
(razina)
Ukupno tržište 100.0% 6.2% 5.5% 0.6% 85.2%
Afrika 2.2% 3.5% 0.8% 2.0% 75.9%
Azijsko-pacifički region 33.7% 9.4% 7.9% 1.1% 82.9%
Europa 26.6% 4.6% 4.0% 0.5% 89.0%
Latin America 5.2% 5.3% 5.9% -0.5% 84.2%
Bliski Istok 9.5% 4.5% 6.1% -1.2% 80.1%
Sjeverna Amerika 23.0% 5.0% 4.0% 0.9% 87.5%
Međunarodna putnička tržišta
Međunarodna putnička potražnja u srpnju porasla je 5.3% u odnosu na srpanj 2017., što je usporavanje u odnosu na 8.2% zabilježeni rast u lipnju. Prema IATA-i. ukupni kapacitet popeo se za 4.7%, a faktor opterećenja porastao je za pola postotna boda na 85.0%. Sve su regije izvijestile o rastu, koje je prvi put u tri mjeseca predvodila Azija i Pacifik.
• Asia-Pacific airlines’ July traffic rose 7.5% over the year-ago period, a slowdown compared to June growth of 9.6%. Capacity increased 6.0% and load factor rose 1.1 percentage points to 82.1%. Growth is being supported by a combination of robust regional economic growth and an increase in route options for travelers.
• European carriers posted a 4.4% rise in traffic for July compared to a year ago, down from 7.1% annual growth in June. On a seasonally-adjusted basis, passenger volumes have been tracking sideways for the past three months, reflecting mixed developments on the economic front and possible traffic impacts related to air traffic control strikes across the region. Capacity rose 3.9%, and load factor climbed 0.5 percentage point to 89.1%, highest among the regions.
• Middle East carriers had a 4.8% increase in demand for July, well down on the 11.2% growth recorded for June, although this mainly is attributable to volatility in the data a year ago, rather than any major new developments. The region has been negatively impacted by a number of policy measures over the past 18 months, including the ban on portable electronic devices and travel restrictions. July capacity climbed 6.5% compared to a year ago and load factor dropped 1.3 percentage points to 80.3%.
• North American airlines’ traffic climbed 4.1% compared to July a year ago. This was down from 6.0% growth in June, but still ahead of the 5-year average pace for carriers in the region as strong momentum in the US economy is helping underpin a pick-up in international demand for airlines there. July capacity rose 2.8% with the result that load factor climbed 1.1 percentage points to 87.2%, second highest among the regions.
• Latin American airlines experienced a 3.8% rise in traffic in July, the slowest growth among the regions and a decline from 5.6% year-over-year growth in June. Capacity rose 4.6% and load factor slid 0.6 percentage point to 84.2%. Signs of softening demand have come alongside disruption from the general strikes in Brazil.
• African airlines’ July traffic rose 6.8%, second highest among the regions. Although this represented a decline from 11.0% growth recorded in June, the seasonally-adjusted trend remains strong. Capacity rose 3.9%, and load factor jumped 2.1 percentage points to 76.0%. Higher oil and commodity prices are supporting economies in a number of countries.
Domaća putnička tržišta
Domaća putnička potražnja porasla je za 7.8% na godišnjoj razini u srpnju, uglavnom u skladu s rastom od 8.0% zabilježenim u lipnju. Sva tržišta bilježe godišnji rast, a Kina, Indija i Rusija bilježe dvoznamenkaste stope rasta. Domaći kapacitet popeo se za 6.9%, a faktor opterećenja porastao je za 0.8 postotnih bodova na 85.6%.
srpanj 2018
(% year-on-year) World share RPK ASK PLF
(%-pt) PLF
(razina)
Domaće 36.2% 7.8% 6.9% 0.8% 85.6%
Australija 0.9% 1.5% 0.9% 0.4% 81.4%
Brazil 1.2% 8.4% 9.1% -0.6% 83.7%
China P.R 9.1% 14.8% 14.3% 0.4% 84.6%
Indija 1.4% 18.3% 12.2% 4.4% 86.9%
Japan 1.1% 1.0% -2.0% 2.2% 71.8%
Ruski Fed. 1.4% 10.8% 10.2% 0.5% 90.9%
SAD 14.5% 5.6% 4.7% 0.8% 87.9%
• Russia’s domestic traffic soared 10.8% in July–a 13-month high–as rising world oil prices are helping support economic activity as well as incomes and jobs.
• US domestic traffic also surged to a 5-month high of 5.6%, well above the 5-year average of 4.2%, boosted by the rising US economy.
Bottom Line
“Druga polovica godine solidno je započela. Snažna potražnja koju smo iskusili u srpnju potvrda je da je ljeto kada ljudi žele putovati, istraživati nova mjesta i okupiti se s prijateljima i obitelji. Nažalost, za zračne putnike u Europi ljeto je također donijelo kašnjenja i razočaranje, dok je za zrakoplovne tvrtke značilo prihvaćanje neučinkovitosti u redu vožnje i dulje vrijeme leta. To je zato što kapacitet zračnog prometa nije išao u korak sa potražnjom i zato što su neki kontrolori iskoristili priliku razdoblja najvećeg prometa da pokreću štrajkove i usporavaju rad. Putnici žele doći na odmor na vrijeme. Prošlo je vrijeme da Europska komisija, države članice i pružatelji usluga u zračnoj plovidbi poduzmu hitne mjere za uklanjanje uskih grla u europskom zračnom prostoru i da destimuliraju kontrolore zračnog prometa da kažnjavaju putnike u zračnom prometu kad nisu zadovoljni ugovorom ”, rekao je Alexandre de Juniac, direktor IATA-e Generalni i izvršni direktor.
